I’ve blogged about this before - all the places where hurricane season forecasts can be found – but thought it bore updating, for this current season. Colorado State’s Tropical Meteorology Project produces the most up-to-date forecasts for the number of named storms per season. This year they’re predicting a doozy.
We foresee a very active hurricane season in 2010. We have increased our forecast from early April, due to a combination of a transition from El Niño to currently-observed neutral conditions and the continuation of unusually warm tropical Atlantic sea surface temperatures. We anticipate a well above-average probability of United States and Caribbean major hurricane landfall. All factors are lining up for a very active 2010 hurricane season.
(as of 2 June 2010)